Will Artificial Intelligence Kill 90% Of Jobs?

A truck driver has a 79% chance of being automated out of a job. That’s according to the nifty website “Will Robots Take my Job.”

AI researchers and academic studies alike conclude that the rise of artificial intelligence will have a great impact on society and especially on the prevalence of certain jobs in fields such as transportation, logistics, and customer service.

If you work in one of those areas, then you may be wondering when the robots are coming for your job. One study from Oxford University suggests that half of all jobs are “at [high] risk of computerization” within a decade or two.

Go driverless

Self-driving cars are already making headlines as companies like Uber and Waymo get closer and closer to the Holy Grail. Truly driverless cars will have a massive impact on the transportation industry. In one fell swoop, the economy could shake off 5 million jobs, all the people who make their money driving taxies, buses or trucks. For context, the economy typically adds around 150,000 – 200,000 jobs in a good month and the total labor force is around 160 million.

AI Workforce

It won’t stop there, as artificial intelligence is likely to make its presence felt in other industries. Automation, not even full-blown AI, is already making the average employee more productive, thereby reducing the need for more workers. Surgeons can be replaced by robots with a level of dexterity that far outstrips any human doctor. As researchers solve the artificial-intelligence cognition problem, artificial intelligence software can easily replace administrative assistants. Further advances in automation will allow one employee to exert an even larger sphere of influence. What that all adds up to is a smaller workforce over time.

What jobs will be left?

At the outset, jobs requiring technical skills are probably going to be safe. With the proliferation of AI will come a need for people who can create, maintain, and troubleshoot these software solutions. Expect programming jobs and other highly technical fields to stay put for a while longer.

Jobs that don’t require a lot of technical expertise, nor creative output are definitely at risk. Artificial intelligence may kill 90% of jobs over the next 100 years, but in the near future, it’s unlikely that we will come close to that number. Estimates tell us that by 2021, robots will eliminate around 6% of jobs in the US.

Another job that may not leave us is the entrepreneur. As automation and AI take hold, it causes money to concentrate in the hands of the people who leverage these solutions. A customer service representative job may go away, but the entrepreneur who controls these assets will always be safe. We may see a shift towards doing a job to starting a business.

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2 responses to “Will Artificial Intelligence Kill 90% Of Jobs?”

  1. Geezes says:

    I think that a lot of people right now would be interested to get an answer to this question. I hope that the artificial intelligence won’t get in the way of me reaching the financial success. However, I would be happy to have the newest equipment and the appliances to make my career development go faster. I think that whatever you do you really have to know first about the latest technologies to have the edge over other candidates for the job. Perhaps now is not the time. But eventually, most of the jobs will be done by robots.

  2. Sherry says:

    I don’t think jobs will be overrun by automation. Today’s world is so much more automated than even the 1980’s and people still have jobs. Automation can carry alot of information, but it is sterile. People can quickly adjust to changing circumstances. People can smile, make eye contact, make another feel welcome. They can understand, override programming, resolve human problems (i.e. a card is not working at the gas pump, the computer working it will not accept. A human can ‘trick’ the machine into accepting the perfectly good card). People have been shown to be drawn to other people. (i.e. one can do almost everything at an atm, but people still go into the bank to interact with a human teller) relationships can be developed with human interraction, not with computer interraction. Androids of the c3po type are fiction (as even the one i the movie is powered by a person). True they are working toward that end, but robots cannot see, the most they can do is follow heat signatures, which get lost in a crowd. It takes a person’s brain to make the on-the-spot minute adjustments necessary to track a moving person through a crowd.